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消息面：1、華東一套220萬噸PTA裝置上周末進入檢修，預計檢修半個月。
上游原料：3月16日亞洲PX市場收盤價580.33美元/噸CFR中國和562.33美元/噸FOB韓國，較前一工作日降31美元/噸。昨日MX價格為507.5美元/噸CFR臺灣，降22.5美元/噸；石腦油價格為263.5美元/噸CFR日本，較前一工作降44.875美元/噸。
現(xiàn)貨價格：PTA現(xiàn)貨市場華東地區(qū)報價3690元/噸，較前一交易日+0。
倉單庫存：鄭商所PTA注冊倉單為132509張，較上一個交易日+1818，有效預報為+8775張。
主力持倉：鄭州商品交易所前二十名持倉顯示，PTA2005合約買單892412手，+68031，賣單1051785手，+77054。
觀點總結:在國際疫情擴散市場避險情緒驅動下，原油價格低位震蕩，打壓化工品價格。成本端，原料PX價格收跌31美元至580.33美元/噸，PTA加工區(qū)間上漲104元/噸至622元/噸。供應端，前期部分企業(yè)因利潤不足降負荷，市場開工率回落至75.75%。需求端，下游聚酯企業(yè)開工逐漸恢復至70%，但較去年同期偏低位水平。供需轉好，但上游原油及疫情影響，短期預計繼續(xù)維持偏弱震蕩。
技術上，PTA2005合約日內增倉下行，下方短線測試3600支撐，上方關注3800壓力，短期建議區(qū)間逢高做空。
